Ethiopia : Ethiopia on the verge of collapse

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             When the Eritrean president advisor Yemane Gebreab crossed his arms in support of the oromo protest at the United Nations he was not doing this out of his sympathy for the oromo people .Since Eritrea it self is ruled by one of the most repressive regimes in the world .Eritreans have grieved over their fate for too long .Their pristine country and energetic people could have attained so much in the last twenty five years since they liberated their country with untold sacrifices .Isayas Afeworki has killed the Eritrean resourcefulness and entrepreneurship and is holding their dream hostage .He has gambled too much with the peoples dedication and commitment to develop their country .He caused their dream and aspiration for a prosperous and peaceful country to vanish .

           Oromia is the backbone of Ethiopian economy. Addis Ababa formerly called Finfine which is surrounded by Oromia accounts for 40% of the country’s GDP .The succession of Oromia from Ethiopia will end the state of Ethiopia it self .Major Industry’s with in the country are located in Oromia .Ethnic Nationalism has never been as high as recent months in Ethiopia .The Amhara’s has risen up claiming the Tigrean part of Welkait and Tegede .Many Tigrean owned business  and homes have been turned to ashes in the Amhara part of Gondar and Gojjam .TPLF troops have confronted armed protesters and rebels in the Western part of Amhara .

         Welkait and Tegede were part of Gondar during the Derg military rule.When the weyanne forces toppled the Derg regime through an armed struggle.They divided the country based on Ethnicity and language.Welkait and Tegede which were part of Gondar were demarcated to Tigray so do eastern part of Tigray with Afar speakers demarcated to Afar region.But a lot of dwellers in Welkait and Tegede also claim they are Amharas .Welkait and Tegede also border Eritrea .Future Amahara state will need access to the port  and Amhara Nationals have envisioned the Eritrean port of Massawa .Due to its geographical proximity. TPLF weyanne is building a railway to link it’s Tigray region with the port of Djibouti. The reason weyanne do not want to end the Ethio-Eritrea war is it benefits from the placement of 85%of the national army in Tigray .logistic for the army are bought from the factories located in Tigray .50,000 militias in the region are on government payroll .Most of Ethiopia’s mechanized army is placed in Tigray region.

          In the further east were Natural gas was found and the Chinese giant is constructing oil pipeline to the port of Djibouti there is no doubt that ONLF will intensify its armed struggle. Alshabab has recently been controlling large swaths of Somalia unchecked .The Americans have closed their Arbaminch base which were frequently striking Alshabab.Ethiopian Army is busy crushing internal rebellion and leaving space for Alshabab to resurrect.

             Benishangul region  has Africa’s biggest  Dam project .The grand Renaissance Dam .It’s construction is being frequently hampered by luck of funds.With the recent uprising in Ethiopia and the bloody crackdown of protesters TPLF/weyanne will be unable to secure any future funds from the Diaspora.The Egyptian want to sabotage it’s construction by any means possible .They have been using Eritrea as a proxy to supply arms to Ethiopian rebels.In the recent uprising in the Amhara region the price of AK-47 has been as low as 2000Birr.supplied by Eritrea and financed by Egypt. The reason weyanne built the grand Renaissance Dam in Benishangul is not to benefit Benishangul from the construction of the dam or the revenue which will be generated from the sale of electricity to the neighboring countries .But with the rebellion of the Amharas and with the collapse of the state they don’t want the Amharas to go away with the total control of the dam.The Dam it self is built 40km from the border of Sudan.The Sudanese President has frequently visited Ethiopia despite being issued an arrest warrant by the ICC.

          TPLF has used live ammunition on protesters at the Irecha ceremony on Bishoftu and the anger that followed targeted so many business related to the ruling party. Multi-million dollar companies are targeted and set a light by protesters. Scaring any future investors who might want to come to Ethiopia. There is also a grievance among other Ethnic groups with in the Army .The reason TPLF placed majority of the Mechanized Army in Tigray region is to kick out other Ethnic groups from the Army and build the Tigray republic with the modern armament it needs.There is no time in the history of EPRDF/Weyanne that the throne of the regime has been shaked in which they are fighting for their survival.

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6 thoughts on “Ethiopia : Ethiopia on the verge of collapse

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